MORE AGNOSTICISM TOWARDS CAGW
Dear Pres. Obama,
You must feeling pretty confident, now that the third-quarter results are in on the economy, and I can hear your Obamabots/Sycophants yelling loudly that this the best the economy has been in more than a decade. You yourself said as much, “When I took office, the deficit was nearly 10% of GDP, today it’s approaching 3%”, http://bit.ly/17ULtOr But the Tampa BayTimes PoliticalFact.com said the following “The statement is partially accurate but leaves out important details, so we rate it Half True. “ Other commentators were less charitable, for example, “When we say that the Bush record of economic growth was 1.7%, greater by a hair than Obama’s current 1.6%, we should also account for the fact that the predicate of the comparison is highly differential. Bush started from a high base and came in low. Obama started from a low base and came in worse. “, http://onforb.es/1zozZ1d , or this article by James Glassman, entitled “The Facts About Budget Deficits: How The Presidents Truly Rank”, http://onforb.es/1zoJ4ap . Mr. Glassman uses three sets of calculations for each president: first, the deficit-to-GDP ratio from the fiscal year he took office to the fiscal year he left minus one (thus, for Reagan: 1981-88); second, from his first fiscal year plus one to the fiscal year he left (thus, 1982-89); and third, an average of the first two. “Americans can judge for themselves whether deficits are “enormous”– but only if they have the facts. In this case, there is no denying the order in which the last five presidents rank on the basis of deficits: Clinton, Bush 43, Bush 41 and Reagan in a virtual tie, and Obama (meaning last). But even more critically speaking, you’ve been accused of creating a smoke and mirrors data dishonesty calculated and reported to made it look rosy, http://bit.ly/1ugSJym Mr. John Williams, the author of the newsletter, ShadowStats.com says that GDP numbers reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) “a statistical illusion created by using too-low a rate of inflation in deflating (removing inflation effects) from the GDP series.”Furthermore, Mr. Donald Lambro,even less charitable, when writing in the Washington Times, said that “Over the past six years, President Pinocchio has been given numerous admonitions from media fact-checkers for making patently false statements about his performance. He is still at it as he enters his seventh year in office, wildly exaggerating the impact of his actions by cherry-picking the good numbers and ignoring the bad ones.”Mr. Lambro went on to say “The truth is that wages over the course of Mr. Obama’s administration have been largely flat, job creation numbers were far below monthly rates during the recoveries of the 1990s and ‘80s under Presidents Clinton and Reagan. Annual economic growth rates remained weak.”… “Heading into the sixth year of this so-called recovery, the 140 million employment payroll count in November was up by a pathetic 1.2 percent over the 138.4 million in January 2008….As for Mr. Obama’s boast that unemployment was down to 5.8 (a figure riddled with statistical fiction), that’s a long way from the 4.4 percent full-employment rate in May 2007….Others were underwhelmed. “It has been a slog,” says economist Robert J. Samuelson. “Generally, the numbers aren’t impressive.”
NOW FOR THE REAL REASON I AM CONTACTING YOU TODAY
I sure hope you’re NOT planning to create more destruction in our economy by imposing yet more of your environmental and climate change “solutions”, when we really don’t know how much of the global warming is due to human influence. For example, this article, “Global Warming? No, Natural, Predictable Climate Change”, http://onforb.es/1EhpNdL says that the earth has benefited from being in a natural warming cycle and that we are about to exit that warming cycle for a cold period or even an Ice Age. Also, this article also says the following “The Duke University/NASA JPL study estimates that as much as 0.3 degrees of warming from 1970 to 2000 may have been naturally induced by the 60-year modulation during the warming phase, amounting to at least 43-60% of the 0.5-0.7 degrees allegedly caused by human greenhouse emissions. “ Regarding this CO2 that seems so horrible to you, were you aware, Mr. President, that our nuclear-powered submarines have significantly higher levels of CO2 in their atmospheres than any outside air, “Data collected on nine nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines indicate an average CO2 concentration of 3,500 ppm with a range of 0-10,600 ppm, and data collected on 10 nuclear-powered attack submarines indicate an average CO2 concentration of 4,100 ppm with a range of 300-11,300 ppm (Hagar 2003). – page 46 , http://bit.ly/13RpBRm , and commercial greenhouses are routinely “pumped-up” with approximately 1500 ppm of CO2 just to accelerate plant growth, or as this site says “Nope, it’s not a pollutant that threatens human civilization as has been ridiculously claimed by global warming doomsday pushers. CO2 actually increases plant yields, accelerates “re-greening” and improves reforestation of the planet. And while today’s atmosphere contains only 400 ppm of carbon dioxide, CO2 generators can help raise that level to 1500 ppm inside greenhouses, thereby accelerating plant growth and food production.” (emphasis already in the ad), http://bit.ly/1Ids6uY . So Mr. Pres., why do you continue to call CO2 “carbon”? as if carbon could float up into the air (being lighter than air apparently?).Even if you were worried about CO2, NOT CARBON levels in the atmosphere, these webpages describe how increases in temperature lead CO2 increases, not the other way around, (1) “Carbon Dioxide and Air Temperature: Who Leads and Who Follows? | Cornwall Alliance”, http://bit.ly/1rUVqEd , (2) “A study: The temperature rise has caused the CO2 Increase, not the other way around | Watts Up With That?”, http://bit.ly/14nII6X, and (3), in talking about the Infamous temperature and CO2 graph from Al Gore’s Inconvenient Truth movie says the following “…if the graphs are mapped onto each other instead of being counterposed one above the other, as Mr Gore does, …it becomes very clear that, very consistently, every temperature rise actually precedes the carbon [dioxide] rise by some 800 years. This undeniable time lag is critical since what it says is that more carbon in the air did not lead to global warming in times past. If so, factors other than carbon must have set off the various periods of global warming in times past, http://bit.ly/1By6bMR. “More importantly from a general climate issue, the following information derived from this webpage, “CO2 Science-The Pathetic Relationship Between Atmospheric CO2 and Earth’s Temperature Over the Past Sixty Million Years“, http://bit.ly/1xTK9GR , says “Starting 60 million years before present (BP), the authors have the atmosphere’s CO2 concentration at approximately 3600 ppm and the oxygen isotope ratio at about 0.3 per mil. Thirteen million years later, however, the air’s CO2 concentration has dropped all the way down to 500 ppm; but the oxygen isotope ratio has dropped (implying a rise in temperature) to zero, which is, of course, just the opposite of what one would expect from the “large and predictable effect” of CO2 on temperature that is commonly assumed.
Next comes a large spike in the air’s CO2 content, all the way up to a value of 2400 ppm. And what does the oxygen isotope ratio do? It rises slightly (implying temperature falls slightly) to about 0.4 per mil, which is again just the opposite of what one would expect from the “large and predictable effect” of CO2 on temperature that is commonly assumed.
After the spike in CO2, of course, the air’s CO2 concentration drops dramatically, declining to a minimum value of close to what it is today. And the oxygen isotope ratio? It barely changes at all, defying once again the common assumption of the “large and predictable effect” of CO2 on temperature.”(emphasis added)
Finally, in ancient times, CO2 was many times higher than it is today, and apparently nothing was wrong then. Please look at the CO2 versus temperature chart below,
As you can see, Sir, temperature and CO2 have absolutely no connection, as over time, both have fluctuated independently of the other.
Also, the right Rev. Forster’s Introduction to Peter Lee’s article, “Ethics and Climate Change Policy”, says it all; unless alarmists acknowledge that not all is known about climate change, and therefore we SHOULD NOT be pushing forward into heavy expenditures of funds for unknown benefit, without a broad consensus from the public. http://bit.ly/1AnFrPG , and I feel certain that you don’t have that consensus from the public, given just how weakly the public rates climate change among other national interest issues, “US Public Worried about ISIL, Putin– But Climate Change is Real Challenge | Informed Comment”, http://bit.ly/1xjWTVA .Mr. Pres., I think it is important for you to recognize that this article says that even among Democrats, only slightly more than a majority think Global Warming is a threat. Quoting from this article’s second paragraph referring to global warming., “In short, the US public is again being misled by its media and politicians as to the true shape of the world, and is likely to suffer pretty badly for this ignorance.”
“We Are Creating Great Anxiety Without It Being Justified…there are no indications that the warming is so severe that we need to panic.
‘The warming we have had the last a 100 years is so small that if we didn’t have had meteorologists and climatologists to measure it we wouldn’t have noticed it at all.’
The Earth appears to have cooling properties that exceeds the previous thought ones, and that computer models are inadequate to try to foretell a chaotic object like the climate, where actual observations is the only way to go. More and more we are seeing the alarmists being increasingly marginalized. As the data pours in, their science is looking more and more preposterous”, http://bit.ly/1IsVspa .
Let’s see what the IPCC warming model looks like when it is plotted as a cumulative bar graph:
The natural heating effect of carbon dioxide is the blue bars and the IPCC projected anthropogenic effect is the red bars. Each 20 ppm increment above 280 ppm provides about 0.03° C of naturally occurring warming and 0.43° C of anthropogenic warming. That is a multiplier effect of over thirteen times. This is the leap of faith required to believe in global warming.
The whole AGW belief system is based upon positive water vapour feedback starting from the pre-industrial level of 280 ppm and not before. To paraphrase George Orwell, anthropogenic carbon dioxide molecules are more equal than the naturally occurring ones. Much, much more equal. http://bit.ly/1tGuFPA
“The IPCC’s CAGW hypothesis necessitates that troposphere humidity increases as levels of atmospheric CO2 increase. Simply stated (this is not rocket science):
*First CO2 levels increase, thus
*Atmospheric warming increases, thus
*Earth’s surface warms, thus
*Earth surface water evaporates, thus
*Atmosphere humidity increases, thus
*Atmosphere water vapor increases (i.e. greenhouse gas), thus
*Atmosphere warms further, thus
*Earth’s surface warms even more, thus
*More Earth’s water evaporates into atmosphere, thus
*A positive feedback loop established, and continues
For the above climate “tipping point” to initiate, the atmosphere humidity has to absolutely increase, which the above chart of empirical evidence reveals it has not.
In fact, as seen, the atmospheric humidity is decreasing over time while CO2 levels increase – the exact opposite of all climate model and “consensus” expert predictions.” Extracted from: http://bit.ly/1tHUr5V
Sir,the second major issue I think you are likely to go wrong on is the proposed EPA ozone rules, http://1.usa.gov/1xExBTD . Not only has the state of Texas disagreed with these proposed rules, http://bit.ly/1xWL5bY , but Texas has strongly questioned the need for more stringent ozone standards, “We think that the EPA’s process of setting ozone standards has not scientifically proven this, and that further lowering of the ozone standard will fail to provide any measurable increase in human health protection.
The EPA’s own modeling in its Health Risk and Exposure Assessment (HREA) indicates that lowering ozone concentrations would actually result in more deaths in some cities (Appendix 7, page 7B-2 of the HREA). Either this indicates that lowering the ozone standard defeats its stated purpose of protecting human health, or it indicates that something is wrong with the EPA’s interpretation of the data. Either way, it’s not a good argument for lowering the ozone standard.”, http://bit.ly/1DKWCf5 .
Texas is not the only state to disagree with EPA rules regarding ozone, as New Jersey sent a letter to Ms. McCarthy, the head of the EPA, opposing adoption of the EPA’s Proposed Rule on Carbon Pollution Emissions for existing stationary sources, http://bit.ly/1tUkd76 . Also, the American Coalition for Clean Coal Electricity produced a document showing the Six Major Myths About EPA Proposal Carbon Regulations, http://bit.ly/1AZX5ul . This not the first time that Congress has heard nonsensical things regarding this program, as in 2011, Mr. Peter Valberg, a principal in Gradient Corporation, testified, http://1.usa.gov/1BRnU3V that EPA’s analysis on air pollution standards for ozone and asthma were inaccurate. Mr. Valberg specifically called into question the data presented by EPA and said that the EPA could not justify the lives saved from asthma and hospitalizations by their numbers. Please have your science adviser read this article and direct the EPA to straighten up and fly right, and quit making up stuff! If you think that the EPA is correct in what they’re doing, please read Mr. Valberg’s bio, http://bit.ly/1IBbvS1 . Personally, I would think twice about challenging his knowledge/expertise.
I thought you were the President who was going to restore Science to the decision-making process. Well sir, based on this discussion as well as your views on Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW), I don’t think you have learned how to ask hard questions of any of your staff, or you’re (as we used to say in the Navy).striking for, a full membership in the Club of Rome’s “The Green Agenda”, http://bit.ly/1y1cIRq .
The third thing I think you’re making a mistake on is planning to veto legislation which would authorize construction of the XL pipeline, H.R. 3, the Keystone XL pipeline Act, http://1.usa.gov/1yaGBOM. The State Department has already blessed this project, and there is virtually no environmental emissions. More importantly, these Tar Sands will be sold to someone, most likely China, if we don’t build the Keystone Pipeline and refine the product ourselves. Mr. Pres., whom would you trust to do it better than the US, with fewer emissions?
Finely, the fourth area of concern is your attempt to control methane gases in the oil and gas industry. Quoting from an article on this, http://bit.ly/1DPeRTe “Methane is the second biggest driver of climate change, after carbon dioxide. On a 20-year timescale, it is 87 times more powerful as a greenhouse gas. (emphasis added) Well, Mr. Pres., do you recognize that the entire greenhouse gas issue is blown out of proportion to its relationship on climate. This webpage will show you how little greenhouse gases effects climate, “Just how much of the “Greenhouse Effect” is caused by human activity? It is about 0.28%, if water vapor is taken into account– about 5.53%, if not.”, http://bit.ly/1g4uy9Z Those are some awfully small contributions toward global warming,and maybe not worth pursuing, given the destruction to the economy it would cause to do so.
In summation, perhaps most importantly of all, as the world’s leader in democracy, if you force these kind of policies on Third World nations, you are subjugating them to a future of nondevelopment, and being permanently underclass.
I thought you would be more interested in seeing your fellow man improve his lot, but apparently not.